Archive for the ‘Perils’ Category

Climate Change Could Submerge The Gambia’s Capital

Via Dialogue Earth, a look at how climate change could submerge The Gambia’s capital and some natural solutions to help hold back the tide: The existence of Gambia’s capital, Banjul, is under threat from rising sea levels and flash flooding. Many people, including residents and fishers, have been displaced, while businesses and offices have moved […]

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Cooling People, Not Spaces: Surmounting the Risks of Air-Conditioning Over-Reliance

Via UPENN’s Kleinman Center for Energy Policy, a look at ways to overcome the risks of air conditioning over-reliance: At A Glance Key Challenge Overreliance on AC worsens climate change through energy use and refrigerant leaks, also harming health in low-income homes. Sustainable cooling solutions like passive design and hybrids exist but face adoption barriers—both […]

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Climate-Driven Sea Level Rise Will Overwhelm Major Oil Ports

Via The Guardian, an article on a rather ‘ironic’ projection that climate-driven sea level rise will overwhelm major oil ports in Saudi Arabia, the US, and worldwide: projected to be seriously damaged by a metre of sea level rise Rising sea levels driven by the climate crisis will overwhelm many of the world’s biggest oil […]

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Hard Truth: India’s Coasts Are Eroding As States Fail To Plan Properly

Via Dialogue Earth, a report on how hard structures are still being built for erosion control in India, despite a national court ruling against them: Arichal Munai Beach lies at the eastern tip of Rameswaram Island, in southern India’s Tamil Nadu state, just past the abandoned village of Dhanushkodi. Looking out onto the Gulf of […]

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‘Virtually Any City on Earth Can Burn Now’

Via Inside Climate News, a look at how – in the superheated 21st century – the old rules for wildfires no longer apply: The journalist John Vaillant’s book “Fire Weather” begins in the spring of 2016 in the boreal forests surrounding the remote Canadian city of Fort McMurray, where a fire is growing. Although wildfire is a […]

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Los Angeles Needs to Fireproof Communities, Not Just Houses

Via Wired, a look at how – after the devastation of the Los Angeles fires – officials are ready to rebuild. But defending against future fires requires thinking about more than buildings. As houses continue to burn in Los Angeles, officials have already started talking about rebuilding the city. “We’re going to rebuild this remarkable community […]

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ABOUT
BLACK SWANS GREEN SHOOTS
Black Swans / Green Shoots examines the collision between urbanization and resource scarcity in a world affected by climate change, identifying opportunities to build sustainable cities and resilient infrastructure through the use of revolutionary capital, increased awareness, innovative technologies, and smart design to make a difference in the face of global and local climate perils.

'Black Swans' are highly improbable events that come as a surprise, have major disruptive effects, and that are often rationalized after the fact as if they had been predictable to begin with. In our rapidly warming world, such events are occurring ever more frequently and include wildfires, floods, extreme heat, and drought.

'Green Shoots' is a term used to describe signs of economic recovery or positive data during a downturn. It references a period of growth and recovery, when plants start to show signs of health and life, and, therefore, has been employed as a metaphor for a recovering economy.

It is my hope that Black Swans / Green Shoots will help readers understand both climate-activated risk and opportunity so that you may invest in, advise, or lead organizations in the context of increasing pressures of global urbanization, resource scarcity, and perils relating to climate change. I believe that the tools of business and finance can help individuals, businesses, and global society make informed choices about who and what to protect, and I hope that this blog provides some insight into the policy and private sector tools used to assess investments in resilient reinforcement, response, or recovery.