Archive for 2026

Art, Artisans and Ancient AC: CoolAnt’s Solutions for India’s Heat Crisis

Via ImpactAlpha, a look at one individual’s efforts to wean people off air conditioners using natural materials: When architect Monish Siripurapu was growing up in southern India, air-conditioning was a rarity in middle-class homes. He recalls sprinkling water on the floor or on the roof to cool the house.  Now Siripurapu, now 39 years old, […]

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No Shade: An Old Solution to Heat Is New Again

Via the Los Angeles Times’ Boiling Point series, a look at role that shade may play in urban heat adaptation: A bicyclist makes his way through the Hoover Recreation Center in Los Angeles, where the playground is draped with canopies for shade, on Oct. 7, 2026. (Genaro Molina / Los Angeles Times) It didn’t look […]

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Can a Network of Miniature Sponge Cities Help Central Asia Curb Climate Change?

Via The Diplomat, a look at how – in lieu of decisive regulatory action and funding – much of the work of adapting to new climate realities falls on individual gardeners and cooperatives. Can gardens act as a network of miniature sponge cities to have a positive impact on climate change in Central Asia? A […]

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How to Cool Buildings with Paint

Courtesy of The Economist, a report on new paints which promise to get rid of heat without using energy London buses have a cool secret. Viewed from above, they are often white, not red. This heat-reduction measure, which began in 2004 with the intention of making journeys more comfortable for passengers—particularly on the top deck—was […]

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Three Bets in a 1.5°C+ World

Via Todd Cort’s Real Price of Risk, an interesting forecast of which parts of the global economy will bear the cost of rising temperatures and which parts will capture value from managing it: On September 2, 2026, the United Nations Environment Programme published a report titled “Limiting Overshoot: Navigating Exceedance of 1.5°C and Pathways Towards […]

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Comeback Cities: Part of Future Proofing

Via Chris Taylor’s Futureproofing Us, an interesting look at how a a dead river comes back, how a highway can be unbuilt without exiling the neighborhood beneath it, and how an old city can become new without ceasing to be itself: By the 1960s, the lower river was an open sewer: no oxygen, no fish, […]

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ABOUT
BLACK SWANS GREEN SHOOTS
Black Swans / Green Shoots examines the collision between urbanization and resource scarcity in a world affected by climate change, identifying opportunities to build sustainable cities and resilient infrastructure through the use of revolutionary capital, increased awareness, innovative technologies, and smart design to make a difference in the face of global and local climate perils.

'Black Swans' are highly improbable events that come as a surprise, have major disruptive effects, and that are often rationalized after the fact as if they had been predictable to begin with. In our rapidly warming world, such events are occurring ever more frequently and include wildfires, floods, extreme heat, and drought.

'Green Shoots' is a term used to describe signs of economic recovery or positive data during a downturn. It references a period of growth and recovery, when plants start to show signs of health and life, and, therefore, has been employed as a metaphor for a recovering economy.

It is my hope that Black Swans / Green Shoots will help readers understand both climate-activated risk and opportunity so that you may invest in, advise, or lead organizations in the context of increasing pressures of global urbanization, resource scarcity, and perils relating to climate change. I believe that the tools of business and finance can help individuals, businesses, and global society make informed choices about who and what to protect, and I hope that this blog provides some insight into the policy and private sector tools used to assess investments in resilient reinforcement, response, or recovery.