Archive for the ‘Perils’ Category

Taking On Water: Can Sponge Cities Save Us from the Coming Floods?

Courtesy of The New Yorker, a look at how – as the planet gets warmer and the rains fall harder – the future of flood control is looking less like a wall and something more like a park: On October 29, 2025, the Metropolitan Transportation Authority released an update to its Climate Resilience Roadmap. In […]

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Water Conservation Works, but Climate Change is Outpacing It: Phoenix, Denver and Las Vegas offer a Glimpse of the Future

Via The Conversation, a look at what happens when climate change outpaces water conservation efforts and what cities can do next: When a drought turns into an urban water crisis, a city’s first step is often to limit lawn watering and launch a campaign to encourage everyone to conserve. It might raise water-use rates or […]

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Indonesia’s Coastal Erosion Crisis Triggers $80bn Seawall Bet

Via Nikkei Asia, a report on Indonesia’s grand 500km wall plan; Java villages, businesses sink as waves encroach: On the northern coast of Java, fisherman Ahmad Sarif sees the sea steadily swallowing land at high tide every time he comes home from work in Bogorame village. Sarif, a village elder, told Nikkei Asia earlier this […]

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Protecting Coasts Without Cooking The Planet

Via the Salata Institute, an interesting look at how low-carbon, low-cost coastal resilience is possible if designers, builders, and policymakers work together: In the 2010s, when New York City decided to fortify the East River Promenade in the Lower East Side, it turned to a typical solution: emissions-intensive concrete and steel. Around the same time, […]

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Climate ‘Shock’ Is Eroding Some Home Values. New Data Shows How Much.

Via New York Times, a look at how climate ‘shock’ is eroding home values: Even after she escaped rising floodwaters by wading away from her home in chest-deep water during Hurricane Rita in 2005, Sandra Rojas, now 69, stayed put. A fifth-generation resident of Lafitte, La., a small coastal community, she raised her home with […]

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How Cities Can Combat Extreme Heat Using Nature-Based Solutions

Via Development Asia, a look at how cities can combat extreme heat using nature-based solutions: Extreme heat is an invisible but increasingly tangible climate risk. It varies by time and place and has wide-reaching but unequal impacts, particularly to women and vulnerable people. As global temperatures rise, extreme heat events (heat waves) are becoming more […]

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ABOUT
BLACK SWANS GREEN SHOOTS
Black Swans / Green Shoots examines the collision between urbanization and resource scarcity in a world affected by climate change, identifying opportunities to build sustainable cities and resilient infrastructure through the use of revolutionary capital, increased awareness, innovative technologies, and smart design to make a difference in the face of global and local climate perils.

'Black Swans' are highly improbable events that come as a surprise, have major disruptive effects, and that are often rationalized after the fact as if they had been predictable to begin with. In our rapidly warming world, such events are occurring ever more frequently and include wildfires, floods, extreme heat, and drought.

'Green Shoots' is a term used to describe signs of economic recovery or positive data during a downturn. It references a period of growth and recovery, when plants start to show signs of health and life, and, therefore, has been employed as a metaphor for a recovering economy.

It is my hope that Black Swans / Green Shoots will help readers understand both climate-activated risk and opportunity so that you may invest in, advise, or lead organizations in the context of increasing pressures of global urbanization, resource scarcity, and perils relating to climate change. I believe that the tools of business and finance can help individuals, businesses, and global society make informed choices about who and what to protect, and I hope that this blog provides some insight into the policy and private sector tools used to assess investments in resilient reinforcement, response, or recovery.