Archive for the ‘Perils’ Category

The Anti-Flood City Is Finally Taking Shape

Via Curbed, a look at how – from concrete walls to hilly landscapes – New York can see its early defenses against future catastrophe: One evening a few months ago, during the kind of brief but explosive rainstorm that has become almost routine, a woman in a fuchsia yoga outfit stepped off a bus on […]

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How An Atlanta Ordinance Could Help the City Cool Off

Via Yale Climate Connections, a brief on a new Atlanta ordinance that requires new construction and major renovations to use reflective roofs that can cool neighborhoods by as much as six degrees: Summers in Atlanta are hot – and getting hotter as the climate warms. To stay safe in the heat, residents often spend a […]

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Cooling Murals to Reduce Surface Temperature

Now this is a cool project! Students and volunteers from the Yale and New Haven communities recently painted a “cooling mural” on the basketball court at Kimberly Field in the city’s Hill neighborhood. Using a highly reflective paint, the mural reduces surface temperatures and offers some relief on steamy summer days. Enjoy the aerial footage! Led […]

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Traditional Home Insurance Is Collapsing. Here’s What Could Fill the Gap

Via Wired, a report on a new, AI-assisted model of insurance is quietly exploding in disaster-prone areas—and may be coming for FEMA too. Is it the answer to climate change, or a trap? In 2019, when the worst flooding in recorded history spread across the entire Mississippi River basin, Colin Wellenkamp’s phone rang for weeks. Wellenkamp runs a […]

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No Shade, but Cities Aren’t Planting Enough Trees

Via Grist, a look at how the solution to urban heat could be much, much simpler than many people think: Johnny Appleseed was ahead of his time. Not because he fed so many people by planting apple trees (really, he got them drunk instead, as his real goal was encouraging the production of cider), but because […]

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Trees and Greenery Can Cool Cities by as Much as 18°C – but Only If It’s the Right Type

Via The Conversation, a report on the potential for trees and greenery to cool cities: Cities around the world are planting more trees to cope with rising urban heat. But our research shows trees alone are often not enough. In some cases, the wrong kind of greening can even make streets feel less comfortable on a hot […]

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ABOUT
BLACK SWANS GREEN SHOOTS
Black Swans / Green Shoots examines the collision between urbanization and resource scarcity in a world affected by climate change, identifying opportunities to build sustainable cities and resilient infrastructure through the use of revolutionary capital, increased awareness, innovative technologies, and smart design to make a difference in the face of global and local climate perils.

'Black Swans' are highly improbable events that come as a surprise, have major disruptive effects, and that are often rationalized after the fact as if they had been predictable to begin with. In our rapidly warming world, such events are occurring ever more frequently and include wildfires, floods, extreme heat, and drought.

'Green Shoots' is a term used to describe signs of economic recovery or positive data during a downturn. It references a period of growth and recovery, when plants start to show signs of health and life, and, therefore, has been employed as a metaphor for a recovering economy.

It is my hope that Black Swans / Green Shoots will help readers understand both climate-activated risk and opportunity so that you may invest in, advise, or lead organizations in the context of increasing pressures of global urbanization, resource scarcity, and perils relating to climate change. I believe that the tools of business and finance can help individuals, businesses, and global society make informed choices about who and what to protect, and I hope that this blog provides some insight into the policy and private sector tools used to assess investments in resilient reinforcement, response, or recovery.