Designing for Planetary Boundary Cities
Only 3% of Earth’s surface is occupied by cities. But they are responsible for 70% of global CO2 emissions. Cities rely heavily on Earth’s systems to support urban life. Fertile soils enable food [...]
Fighting Fire with 5G
T-Mobile has decided to back Pano AI to detect wildfires using its 5G network. San Francisco-based Pano AI has built a wildfire detection device that uses cameras, satellite feeds and artificial [...]
As Climate Shocks Multiply, Designers Seek Holy Grail: Disaster-Proof Homes
Via The New York Times a look at how – despite the fact that the homebuilding industry has been slow to adopt changes that can better protect against extreme weather – some architects are [...]
On the Grid: How Old Coal Plants Could Help Fuel A Renewable Boom
Via E&E News, an interesting look at the potential for old power plants and their links to the grid to be repurposed to bring renewables online faster and aid nearby communities? And if so, which [...]
The Rise of Electric Heat Pumps
Courtesy of Harvard Business School, an independent project with Professor George Serafeim to assess the viability of a heat pump: In the U.S., 17% of homes have an electric heat pump installed. In [...]
This New Neighborhood Will Be Net-Zero, Off the Grid, and Leaves Room for the Forest
Via Fast Company, a look at a new 67-home neighborhood in Ontario which will be walkable, run off community battery systems, and will protect nearby forests and wetlands In a new neighborhood that [...]

ABOUT
BLACK SWANS GREEN SHOOTS
Black Swans / Green Shoots examines the collision between urbanization and resource scarcity in a world affected by climate change, identifying opportunities to build sustainable cities and resilient infrastructure through the use of revolutionary capital, increased awareness, innovative technologies, and smart design to make a difference in the face of global and local climate perils.

'Black Swans' are highly improbable events that come as a surprise, have major disruptive effects, and that are often rationalized after the fact as if they had been predictable to begin with. In our rapidly warming world, such events are occurring ever more frequently and include wildfires, floods, extreme heat, and drought.

'Green Shoots' is a term used to describe signs of economic recovery or positive data during a downturn. It references a period of growth and recovery, when plants start to show signs of health and life, and, therefore, has been employed as a metaphor for a recovering economy.

It is my hope that Black Swans / Green Shoots will help readers understand both climate-activated risk and opportunity so that you may invest in, advise, or lead organizations in the context of increasing pressures of global urbanization, resource scarcity, and perils relating to climate change. I believe that the tools of business and finance can help individuals, businesses, and global society make informed choices about who and what to protect, and I hope that this blog provides some insight into the policy and private sector tools used to assess investments in resilient reinforcement, response, or recovery.