Protecting Coasts Without Cooking The Planet
January 7th, 2026
Via the Salata Institute, an interesting look at how low-carbon, low-cost coastal resilience is possible if designers, builders, and policymakers work together: In the 2010s, when New York City decided to fortify the East River Promenade in the Lower East Side, it turned to a typical solution: emissions-intensive concrete and steel. Around the same time, […]
Read more »The Dead Zone: What Climate Change Will Do to America by Mid-Century
December 9th, 2025
Via The Atlantic, a look at how many places in the U.S. may become uninhabitable. Many people may be on their own. Earlier this year, in the foothills of the San Gabriel Mountains, a graveyard was spared by the fire that sent thousands of Los Angeles residents fleeing into the coal-black night. Here, in Mountain […]
Read more »Climate ‘Shock’ Is Eroding Some Home Values. New Data Shows How Much.
November 19th, 2025
Via New York Times, a look at how climate ‘shock’ is eroding home values: Even after she escaped rising floodwaters by wading away from her home in chest-deep water during Hurricane Rita in 2005, Sandra Rojas, now 69, stayed put. A fifth-generation resident of Lafitte, La., a small coastal community, she raised her home with […]
Read more »How Cities Can Combat Extreme Heat Using Nature-Based Solutions
November 17th, 2025
Via Development Asia, a look at how cities can combat extreme heat using nature-based solutions: Extreme heat is an invisible but increasingly tangible climate risk. It varies by time and place and has wide-reaching but unequal impacts, particularly to women and vulnerable people. As global temperatures rise, extreme heat events (heat waves) are becoming more […]
Read more »Three Steps to Protect the United States Against Extreme Heat
November 9th, 2025
Via the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a report on extreme heat: The Issue Extreme heat is becoming an urgent priority in the United States and beyond. The threat posed by extreme heat has become a matter of national security, impacting U.S. military readiness, while threatening economic growth, productivity, and global competitiveness. The negative […]
Read more »Drought is Quietly Pushing American Cities Toward a Fiscal Cliff
November 3rd, 2025
Via Grist, a look at how drought is set to pose a greater risk to the $4 trillion municipal bond market than floods, hurricanes, and wildfires combined: The city of Clyde sits about two hours west of Fort Worth on the plains of north Texas. It gets its water from a lake by the same […]
Read more »'Black Swans' are highly improbable events that come as a surprise, have major disruptive effects, and that are often rationalized after the fact as if they had been predictable to begin with. In our rapidly warming world, such events are occurring ever more frequently and include wildfires, floods, extreme heat, and drought.
'Green Shoots' is a term used to describe signs of economic recovery or positive data during a downturn. It references a period of growth and recovery, when plants start to show signs of health and life, and, therefore, has been employed as a metaphor for a recovering economy.
It is my hope that Black Swans / Green Shoots will help readers understand both climate-activated risk and opportunity so that you may invest in, advise, or lead organizations in the context of increasing pressures of global urbanization, resource scarcity, and perils relating to climate change. I believe that the tools of business and finance can help individuals, businesses, and global society make informed choices about who and what to protect, and I hope that this blog provides some insight into the policy and private sector tools used to assess investments in resilient reinforcement, response, or recovery.