Climate Migration Is Already Reshaping American Cities
April 13th, 2026
Via Harvard’s Salata Institute, a look at how climate migration is already reshaping American cities: The concept of the climate haven – a place seen as safer from extreme weather – has increasingly gotten a bad rap. After a supercharged Hurricane Helene devastated large swathes of Asheville, North Carolina, in 2024, the term became an easy […]
Read more »Weather Prediction Markets Are Booming. Can They Improve Forecasts?
April 11th, 2026
Via Bloomberg, a look at how – from Kalshi and Polymarket to niche scientific platforms – traders are predicting the weather — and climate experts are debating the results: A few days before Christmas, Howard Qin was scrutinizing weather forecasts on two laptops at home in Shanghai when he noticed prices of contracts for New […]
Read more »Rain Could Soon Help Power Your Home
April 11th, 2026
Via The Cool Down, a report on a new breakthrough which integrates a thin film into panels that not only protects the fragile solar cells but also captures mechanical energy from falling rain: Scientists have developed a new coating to capture the energy of rain falling on solar panels. While the impact of rain may […]
Read more »Water Conservation Works, but Climate Change is Outpacing It: Phoenix, Denver and Las Vegas offer a Glimpse of the Future
April 9th, 2026
Via The Conversation, a look at what happens when climate change outpaces water conservation efforts and what cities can do next: When a drought turns into an urban water crisis, a city’s first step is often to limit lawn watering and launch a campaign to encourage everyone to conserve. It might raise water-use rates or […]
Read more »Tennis Courts Serve Up An Unexpected Climate Solution
April 1st, 2026
Via Anthropocene Magazine, a look at how researchers have found that green clay tennis courts are able to absorb massive amounts of carbon dioxide via enhanced rock weathering: It’s probably not what most tennis players are thinking about as they focus on the ball whizzing over the net towards them, but the court they are […]
Read more »Indonesia’s Coastal Erosion Crisis Triggers $80bn Seawall Bet
March 28th, 2026
Via Nikkei Asia, a report on Indonesia’s grand 500km wall plan; Java villages, businesses sink as waves encroach: On the northern coast of Java, fisherman Ahmad Sarif sees the sea steadily swallowing land at high tide every time he comes home from work in Bogorame village. Sarif, a village elder, told Nikkei Asia earlier this […]
Read more »'Black Swans' are highly improbable events that come as a surprise, have major disruptive effects, and that are often rationalized after the fact as if they had been predictable to begin with. In our rapidly warming world, such events are occurring ever more frequently and include wildfires, floods, extreme heat, and drought.
'Green Shoots' is a term used to describe signs of economic recovery or positive data during a downturn. It references a period of growth and recovery, when plants start to show signs of health and life, and, therefore, has been employed as a metaphor for a recovering economy.
It is my hope that Black Swans / Green Shoots will help readers understand both climate-activated risk and opportunity so that you may invest in, advise, or lead organizations in the context of increasing pressures of global urbanization, resource scarcity, and perils relating to climate change. I believe that the tools of business and finance can help individuals, businesses, and global society make informed choices about who and what to protect, and I hope that this blog provides some insight into the policy and private sector tools used to assess investments in resilient reinforcement, response, or recovery.