Archive for 2024

These States Are Basically Begging You to Get a Heat Pump

Via Wired, a look at how nine U.S. states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of this climate superhero: Death is coming for the old-school gas furnace—and its killer is the humble heat pump. They’re already outselling gas furnaces in the US, and now a coalition of states has signed an agreement to supercharge the gas-to-electric transition […]

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Neighborhood-Scale Building Decarbonization

Via Smart Cities Dive, a look at two approaches to neighborhood-scale building decarbonization: Communities must shift to a neighborhood-scale approach to building decarbonization if they want to meet federal and state climate goals, speakers said at a Jan. 25 webinar organized by the Building Decarbonization Coalition.  This emerging strategy focuses on decarbonizing entire street segments, developments or neighborhoods at once. The […]

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Combining Heat Pumps with Smart Tariffs, Solar and Batteries

An insightful LinkedIn analysis on potential to combine heat pumps with smart tariffs, solar and batteries: There has been a lot of interest recently looking at whether heat pumps should be left on all the time – and how this works with time of use (ToU) tariffs. Over the last year I have had the […]

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The Promise of Passive House Design

Via Yale Climate Connections, a look at the promise of passive design – the extraordinarily energy-efficient building method slashes climate pollution from homes, hospitals, schools, and high rises: Imagine a home so efficient that it could be heated with a hair dryer. That’s the promise of a passive house, a design standard that’s becoming increasingly […]

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Going Dutch: An Approach to Flood Control Flows into Charleston

Via Charleston City Paper, a look at how Charleston is borrowing flood control techniques from the Dutch: The Dutch solution to flood control is not confined to its iconic 17th century crescent-shaped network of canals lined with skinny houses and flat houseboats that form an inner-city drainage and transportation system in Amsterdam’s historic core. In […]

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Coastal Cities Brace for Climate Change

Courtesy of The New York Times, a report on how coastal cities are bracing for climate change: Over the past few weeks, flooding from storms has battered cities in the South and the East Coast, from Louisiana to New Jersey. Overlapping atmospheric rivers over the West Coast have brought heavy rains that are likely to come back in the next […]

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ABOUT
BLACK SWANS GREEN SHOOTS
Black Swans / Green Shoots examines the collision between urbanization and resource scarcity in a world affected by climate change, identifying opportunities to build sustainable cities and resilient infrastructure through the use of revolutionary capital, increased awareness, innovative technologies, and smart design to make a difference in the face of global and local climate perils.

'Black Swans' are highly improbable events that come as a surprise, have major disruptive effects, and that are often rationalized after the fact as if they had been predictable to begin with. In our rapidly warming world, such events are occurring ever more frequently and include wildfires, floods, extreme heat, and drought.

'Green Shoots' is a term used to describe signs of economic recovery or positive data during a downturn. It references a period of growth and recovery, when plants start to show signs of health and life, and, therefore, has been employed as a metaphor for a recovering economy.

It is my hope that Black Swans / Green Shoots will help readers understand both climate-activated risk and opportunity so that you may invest in, advise, or lead organizations in the context of increasing pressures of global urbanization, resource scarcity, and perils relating to climate change. I believe that the tools of business and finance can help individuals, businesses, and global society make informed choices about who and what to protect, and I hope that this blog provides some insight into the policy and private sector tools used to assess investments in resilient reinforcement, response, or recovery.