Archive for 2024

Getting Off Fossil Fuels Is Hard, But This City Is Doing It – Building by Building

Via NPR, a feature on one city’s efforts to break its reliance on fossil fuels: ARI SHAPIRO, HOST: Ithaca, N.Y., is learning that getting off fossil fuels is really hard. The U.S. aims to zero out climate warming greenhouse gases by the year 2050, but Ithaca wants to do that 20 years ahead of the […]

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Want to Fight Climate Change? Fix Housing

Via Walrus, a look at the role housing can change in the climate fight: TWO OF THE most acute crises facing Canadians are housing and climate change. These are usually treated as separate issues, to be raised in different conversations. That’s a mistake. Climate and housing are vitally connected, and acknowledging this turns a pair […]

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What Would Happen if Every American Got a Heat Pump

Via Wired, a report on the projected impact of widespread adoption of heat pumps in the U.S.: One of the most powerful weapons you can wield to fight climate change is … an appliance. A heat pump is a fully electric device that transfers warmth from outdoor air into a building, then reverses in the summer to […]

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The Climate Solution Beneath Your Feet

Via MIT Technology Review, a look at how building materials can have outsize climate impacts, and cleaning them up will require major innovation: I’ve come across some pretty wild technologies aimed at fighting climate change. Hydrogen-powered planes, underwater mining robots, and nuclear fusion reactors—each could play a role in cutting down on greenhouse-gas emissions.  But there are […]

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Concrete That Can Sequester Carbon

Concrete is responsible for more than four percent of all global CO2 emissions.  Via Wired, a look at the race to find alternatives, including some companies which are using it to sequester CO2 instead: CONCRETE: UPON THIS rock-like composite we have built our church – and our houses, roads, bridges, skyscrapers, and factories. As a species […]

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Heat Pumps That Fit In Apartment Windows Promise Big Emissions Cuts

Via AP News, a look at how heat pumps that fit in apartment windows promise big emissions cuts: For 27 years, the heat in Regina Fred’s Queens apartment building came from a noisy steam radiator that she couldn’t control and sometimes didn’t come on at all, leaving her shivering. Sometimes, the radiators ran so hot that […]

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ABOUT
BLACK SWANS GREEN SHOOTS
Black Swans / Green Shoots examines the collision between urbanization and resource scarcity in a world affected by climate change, identifying opportunities to build sustainable cities and resilient infrastructure through the use of revolutionary capital, increased awareness, innovative technologies, and smart design to make a difference in the face of global and local climate perils.

'Black Swans' are highly improbable events that come as a surprise, have major disruptive effects, and that are often rationalized after the fact as if they had been predictable to begin with. In our rapidly warming world, such events are occurring ever more frequently and include wildfires, floods, extreme heat, and drought.

'Green Shoots' is a term used to describe signs of economic recovery or positive data during a downturn. It references a period of growth and recovery, when plants start to show signs of health and life, and, therefore, has been employed as a metaphor for a recovering economy.

It is my hope that Black Swans / Green Shoots will help readers understand both climate-activated risk and opportunity so that you may invest in, advise, or lead organizations in the context of increasing pressures of global urbanization, resource scarcity, and perils relating to climate change. I believe that the tools of business and finance can help individuals, businesses, and global society make informed choices about who and what to protect, and I hope that this blog provides some insight into the policy and private sector tools used to assess investments in resilient reinforcement, response, or recovery.