Archive for April, 2024

Communist-Era Apartment Blocks Dominate Eastern Europe – Now They’re Being Transformed

Courtesy of BBC, a report on how Communist-era apartment blocks in Eastern Europe are being transformed: From Prague to Plovdiv, engineers and architects are giving a second life to communist-built apartment blocks in Central and Eastern Europe, ready for the climate change era. One of the oldest residents of one of the tallest building in […]

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L.A. County Faces $12.5B In Climate Costs Through 2040

Courtesy of Los Angeles Times, a look at L.A. County estimated $12.5 billion in climate costs through 2040: A first-of-its-kind report has estimated that Los Angeles County must invest billions of dollars through 2040 to protect residents from worsening climate hazards, including extreme heat, increasing precipitation, worsening wildfires, rising sea levels and climate-induced public health […]

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Rooftop Heat Pump Technologies Can Save US Businesses $5B Annually: DOE

Via Smart Cities Dive, an article on a new U.S. Department of Energy program aims to bring higher-efficiency rooftop heat pump technologies to market as soon as 2027: Dive Brief: The U.S. Department of Energy’s new Commercial Building Heat Pump Accelerator program aims to help manufacturers develop heat pumps that can replace less efficient rooftop heating and […]

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Can We Engineer Our Way Out of the Climate Crisis?

Courtesy of the New York Times, a look at one of the most widely explored technologies to help mitigate climate change – carbon capture: On a windswept Icelandic plateau, an international team of engineers and executives is powering up an innovative machine designed to alter the very composition of Earth’s atmosphere. If all goes as […]

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The $2 Billion Plan to Electrify American Homes

Via Heatmap, an article on the $2B plan to electrify U.S. homes: Getting fossil fuels out of your home is really hard. You have to find a contractor, ideally one who supports electrification and doesn’t ask why you won’t just stick with natural gas. You have to coordinate between multiple trades — electricians, plumbers, HVAC […]

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Schools Close and Crops Wither as ‘Historic’ Heatwave Hits Southeast Asia

Via The Guardian, a report on the southeast Asia’s historic heatwave what has left governments across region grappling for response as temperatures soar to unseasonable highs: Thousands of schools in the Philippines have stopped in-person classes due to unbearable heat. In Indonesia, prolonged dry weather has caused rice prices to soar. In Thailand’s waters, temperatures are so […]

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ABOUT
BLACK SWANS GREEN SHOOTS
Black Swans / Green Shoots examines the collision between urbanization and resource scarcity in a world affected by climate change, identifying opportunities to build sustainable cities and resilient infrastructure through the use of revolutionary capital, increased awareness, innovative technologies, and smart design to make a difference in the face of global and local climate perils.

'Black Swans' are highly improbable events that come as a surprise, have major disruptive effects, and that are often rationalized after the fact as if they had been predictable to begin with. In our rapidly warming world, such events are occurring ever more frequently and include wildfires, floods, extreme heat, and drought.

'Green Shoots' is a term used to describe signs of economic recovery or positive data during a downturn. It references a period of growth and recovery, when plants start to show signs of health and life, and, therefore, has been employed as a metaphor for a recovering economy.

It is my hope that Black Swans / Green Shoots will help readers understand both climate-activated risk and opportunity so that you may invest in, advise, or lead organizations in the context of increasing pressures of global urbanization, resource scarcity, and perils relating to climate change. I believe that the tools of business and finance can help individuals, businesses, and global society make informed choices about who and what to protect, and I hope that this blog provides some insight into the policy and private sector tools used to assess investments in resilient reinforcement, response, or recovery.