Archive for December, 2025

Climate Adaptation More Than Covers Its Cost

Via Project Syndicate, a look at how effective climate adaptation can strengthen countries’ resilience, protect vulnerable communities, and support economic growth. But while the world has the tools, the level of investment needed to close today’s adaptation gap, let alone to address likely future needs, has fallen far short. Humanity has long learned to live […]

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EVs Aren’t Just Cars Anymore. They Can Power Your Home Slashing Emissions — and Bills.

Via Anthropocene Magazine, a report on a first-of-its-kind national study finds that vehicle-to-home charging can turn electric cars into grid-smart assets, reducing both energy costs and greenhouse gas emissions: Tapping into electric vehicle (EV) batteries as a source of household power could save car owners thousands of dollars and slash carbon dioxide emissions, according to […]

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The Dead Zone: What Climate Change Will Do to America by Mid-Century

Via The Atlantic, a look at how many places in the U.S. may become uninhabitable. Many people may be on their own. Earlier this year, in the foothills of the San Gabriel Mountains, a graveyard was spared by the fire that sent thousands of Los Angeles residents fleeing into the coal-black night. Here, in Mountain […]

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India’s Buildings Could Be a Big Part of Its Climate Solution

Via The Diplomat, an interesting look at how integrating solar directly into India’s buildings could turn homes and offices into decentralized power plants and cut emissions right where they begin: By 2060, the total floor area of buildings worldwide is expected to double. Most of the expansion will take place in emerging economies in Asia, Africa, […]

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Zillow Removes Climate Risk Scores From Home Listings

Via the New York Times, a report on Zillow’s decision to remove climate score aimed to predict a property’s risk from fires, floods and storms: Zillow, the country’s largest real estate listings site, has quietly removed a feature that showed the risks from extreme weather for more than one million home sale listings on its […]

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How ‘Super Roofs’ Reward Insurers, Cat Bond Investors and Homeowners

Via Bloomberg, a look at novel program run by North Carolina’s insurer of last resort that incentivizes homeowners to install roofs that can stand up to extreme winds: North Carolina has issued a $600 million catastrophe bond to fund disaster preparedness and reward homeowners for installing “super roofs” that are resistant to wind damage. The […]

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ABOUT
BLACK SWANS GREEN SHOOTS
Black Swans / Green Shoots examines the collision between urbanization and resource scarcity in a world affected by climate change, identifying opportunities to build sustainable cities and resilient infrastructure through the use of revolutionary capital, increased awareness, innovative technologies, and smart design to make a difference in the face of global and local climate perils.

'Black Swans' are highly improbable events that come as a surprise, have major disruptive effects, and that are often rationalized after the fact as if they had been predictable to begin with. In our rapidly warming world, such events are occurring ever more frequently and include wildfires, floods, extreme heat, and drought.

'Green Shoots' is a term used to describe signs of economic recovery or positive data during a downturn. It references a period of growth and recovery, when plants start to show signs of health and life, and, therefore, has been employed as a metaphor for a recovering economy.

It is my hope that Black Swans / Green Shoots will help readers understand both climate-activated risk and opportunity so that you may invest in, advise, or lead organizations in the context of increasing pressures of global urbanization, resource scarcity, and perils relating to climate change. I believe that the tools of business and finance can help individuals, businesses, and global society make informed choices about who and what to protect, and I hope that this blog provides some insight into the policy and private sector tools used to assess investments in resilient reinforcement, response, or recovery.